Sigh... Of all thet tweaks this time around, I find this one to be very disappointing. 41% to 38% is derisory, and again no abolition of deemed disposal and no loss offsetting. Process fatigue is definitely setting in here - when will anything structural actually land? Just more short-termism over strategy. Surely encouraging investment and wealth accumulation ultimately strengthens, not weakens, the public finances?
The new implementation plan confirms that the structural fixes (abolish deemed disposal, align to 33%, introduce limited loss relief) are "under consideration", with a Roadmap in early 2026 and in the meantime, just a trim the rate to 38%. What even was the point of the change?
The 41% to 38% change is almost pointlessly symbolic rather than substantive. The real frictions (8-year deemed disposal and inability to offset losses ) still make ETFs a tax‑inefficient structure for long‑term savers. All this does is continue to reward people for veering towards stock‑picking and away from diversified ETF exposure. That’s a mismatch if the goal is broader, safer retail participation.
Against the apparent static revenue cost of meaningful reform, there’s a dynamic revenue upside (and a potentially large one over time) from shifting household savings out of low-yield deposits and into taxable investment activity. Irish households are extremely cash-heavy, and proper reform could shift capital into the tax net.
The current frictions are well-known deterrents and removing them and aligning fund taxation with CGT (33%) plus allowing loss offsets makes funds vastly more attractive relative to deposits, potentially leading to:
- Increased participation in Irish-domiciled ETFs/funds.
- Higher volume of realised capital gains over time.
- More dividend receipts, subject to DWT and income tax.
These effects would all increase taxable activity, even if the initial rate cut looks costly on paper.
Reforming Ireland’s ETF and fund taxation regime isn’t just a giveaway to investors, it’s good fiscal policy and smart economic design over the medium term. The current regime is distortionary and inefficient, and aligning with CGT would not only simplify compliance but also in my opinion boost collection.
This regime we have now wasn’t the result of coherent economic design. It was a patchwork compromise that came from a miserly penny-pinching perspective in 1990s and 2000s when:
- unit trust and life assurance exit tax frameworks were adapted from insurance products, not capital markets.
- the civil service was risk-averse and focused on preventing tax deferral rather than promoting investment.
- retail participation in funds was tiny, so officials viewed it mainly as a niche avoidance risk, not a macroeconomic lever.
The deemed disposal rule was introduced to stop long-term deferral, but without appreciating that it would punish prudent, buy-and-hold savers decades later
To me, the previous Standard Fund Threshold for pensions and the exit-tax / deemed-disposal regime for ETFs stem from the same underlying administrative mindset rather than coherent economic reasoning. Different instruments, same psychology. Both grew out of the Department of Finances defensive fiscal culture of tax now, control exposure, and avoid perceived generosity. Both embody a sort of fiscal Calvinism: the belief that if you make saving "too easy" people will abuse it..
I think it is fair to say that our Department of Finance has historically prioritised certainty of collection (take the tax now) over economic efficiency (encourage more investment later). It has measured success in annual cashflow yield, not lifetime tax yield, and been culturally conservative and wary of anything that might open a hole in the tax base. The irony is that this caution often reduces the base, by discouraging the very investment activity that would later generate sustainable tax streams.
Rather than fiscal containment, let's look towards fiscal enablement - that's how modern, confident economies approach savings policy.
I just assume that politically the optics for this weren't great, with the tax bands not being up for change... but it feels like such a missed opportunity.
Apologies for the rant, this particular budget mode triggered me (perhaps more than I realised) in its small mindedness.