41% Exit Tax - Will we see Budget 2026 changes

Status
Not open for further replies.
The more I think about it DD is not necessarily the issue. It’s the lack of an ISA or similar. It would solve many issues.
Which is what the EU are looking to promote?
 
And one of the main points of the SIU is that such accounts offer tax incentives...

"Tax incentives: They are key in encouraging the SIAs and achieving broader retail investor participation. Tax incentives should be well targeted and simple for retail investors, SIA providers and tax administrations to understand and apply."
 
I always assumed that one of the reasons the government were reluctant to change this was that the opposition would paint it as a tax break for the rich while there are people struggling/cost of living/record homelessness etc and the government was worried about the optics of it. So, seeing Sinn Fein coming out against it is a good sign.
 

Interesting RTE article on ETFs/DD8... even if their suggestion of €1,270 annual allowance on gains seems misleading at best to me, I feel it is good to have this openly discussed and in the zeitgeist...
 
Pascal Donohue seems to be the biggest road block to getting deemed disposal removed quickly. 140 million is nothing in comparison to the 160 billion sitting wasting away in Irish deposit accounts. Its a silly excuse and should not be accepted, the pressure needs to be kept on him to remove this ridiculous legacy taxation. So keep sending questions to local TDs and ministers to keep asking about it in the dail. The more times he has to keep trotting out the same old response the more ridiculous he will look.
 
140 million is nothing
€140m is not the figure they’re concerned about, it’s the lost income tax and CGT if funds start popping up again that roll-up dividends and disposals within the fund allowing potentially indefinite deferral of all taxation - ie. the reason DD was introduced in the first place.

This discussion is going around and around in circles.
 
Pascal Donohue seems to be the biggest road block to getting deemed disposal removed quickly.

There is a rotating Taoiseach planned for November 2027, perhaps we will have a new finance minister at that time. I know Pascal will probable just go to Public Expenditure but I think it makes things more likely information the 2029 budget (delivered in 2028). We may not have a 2030 budget.
 
€140m is not the figure they’re concerned about, it’s the lost income tax and CGT if funds start popping up again that roll-up dividends and disposals within the fund allowing potentially indefinite deferral of all taxation - ie. the reason DD was introduced in the first place.
Other countries have dealt with this issue effectively, as I said in an earlier post, they could maintain "deemed disposal " for such funds. However this was used as an excuse because most ETFS pay out dividends they do not roll them up yet they were still included in the deemed disposal regime, so investors were already paying tax every year on their dividends and still required to do a deemed disposal every 8 years. This is preposterous and hugely unfair. That's why donohue needs to be vigorously challenged in the dail on this grossly unfair and out dated tax.
 
€140m is not the figure they’re concerned about, it’s the lost income tax and CGT if funds start popping up again that roll-up dividends and disposals within the fund allowing potentially indefinite deferral of all taxation - ie. the reason DD was introduced in the first place.
It doesn't have to be indefinite deferral.

It is fair to say that indefinite deferral was the policy risk targeted by Ireland’s original DD8 rules, notably for accumulating funds that allow gains to compound over time without taxation, which could otherwise persist indefinitely in the absence of intervention. However, Ireland’s DD8 regime is not the only way to restrict tax deferral on investment funds.

For example, a UK-style ISA (Individual Savings Account) or EU SIA (Savings and Investment Account) type scheme could cap the tax advantage either by limiting overall investment size, annual contributions, or permitted gains. Such schemes exist in the UK and other jurisdictions, and they balance investor flexibility with targeted tax collection. We could even create separate first-time buyer accounts which encourage diversified investments for those looking to build a deposit, rather than encouraging flutters in more volatile asset types like individual stock picks, crypto, commodities.

In Ireland, even without DD8, tax deferral is not truly indefinite because death also constitutes a disposal event on which CGT (or exit tax) is charged, ensuring that tax is eventually paid when ownership changes or assets are finally realized. While our system could be improved by being structured with capped exemptions or annual limits (as with an ISA/SIA), it is accurate that, under Irish law, death does lead to final CGT liability for unrealized gains, thereby precluding true indefinite tax deferral.

My biggest issue with DD8 is the insane complexity of it. My second largest issue is the tax drag, which, as we have seen, limits compound growth by requiring taxation (at roughly an annualised equivalent of DIRT) at intervals rather than at final realisation... Let's not forget that we are a significant outlier here versus the rest of the western world.

Other countries have dealt with this issue effectively, as I said in an earlier post, they could maintain "deemed disposal " for such funds. However this was used as an excuse because most ETFS pay out dividends they do not roll them up yet they were still included in the deemed disposal regime, so investors were already paying tax every year on their dividends and still required to do a deemed disposal every 8 years. This is preposterous and hugely unfair. That's why donohue needs to be vigorously challenged in the dail on this grossly unfair and out dated tax.
Exactly! Well said.
 
It doesn't have to be indefinite deferral.
Of course. I was just making the point that this decision is not as simple as adding up all that DD raises and flipping the interest rates, there are a bunch of possible unintended consequences that need to be considered. Dumbing the discussion down to there being a single person taking a personal stand and refusing to swipe their pen to make a tiny change is just a little frustrating, just ignore me :)
 
I was just making the point that this decision is not as simple as adding up all that DD raises and flipping the interest rates, there are a bunch of possible unintended consequences that need to be considered.
I think you are right in that the details of this decision have nuances, but let's be honest - this decision has utterly petrified itself into a fossil at this point. We've had *years* to sort this. This isn't something that caught the policy wonks offside, this has been in play for absolutely ages.

It truly shouldn't take this long to sort out such an abberation. It is yet more evidence of Revenue's and the Department of Finance's fiscal Calvanism, and a lack of confidence in our modern highly-educated capable economy. It is a tax-it-quick fear of the threat of an (economic) famine in the morning...
 
I think it makes things more likely information the 2029 budget (delivered in 2028). We may not have a 2030 budget.
We will see a Roadmap with proposals for next steps in early 2026.

 
ere is a rotating Taoiseach planned for November 2027, perhaps we will have a new finance minister at that time. I know Pascal will probable just go to Public Expenditure but I think it makes things more likely information the 2029 budget (delivered in 2028). We may not have a 2030 budge
Pascal is gone now, so we’ll have a new finance minister by the new year and we’ll find out if he was the blocker at least.
 
Jennifer Carroll MacNeill would have been a better prospect than Simon Harris, former Minister of State at the Department of Finance, and active on this issue.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Back
Top