The major trends at the moment in the US election seem to me to be Trumps declining support among the old, due presumably to his failures with Covid, and his low level of support among women.
By contrast his support among high school educated blue collar whites seems to have held up, and even expanded among adjacent white demographics, middle class better educated office workers.
The law and order issue does not seem to have developed for Trump. I had expected the suburbans afraid of riots thing might have flourished, but it seems to have fizzled. BLM supporters were never going to support Trump.
While the demographic showing an increase in support for Trump is spread across the country, the elder vote is key in a number of key states, Florida and Arizona especially.
If this election throws up a surprise that might be an overwhelming Biden victory.
By contrast his support among high school educated blue collar whites seems to have held up, and even expanded among adjacent white demographics, middle class better educated office workers.
The law and order issue does not seem to have developed for Trump. I had expected the suburbans afraid of riots thing might have flourished, but it seems to have fizzled. BLM supporters were never going to support Trump.
While the demographic showing an increase in support for Trump is spread across the country, the elder vote is key in a number of key states, Florida and Arizona especially.
If this election throws up a surprise that might be an overwhelming Biden victory.