....But this is as close to free money as you are ever likely to get.
Brendan
I backed it yesterday when the odds were 7/5
Unfortunately, the maximum bet was only €145. Still it's like free money, although you have to wait a year for it.
Brendan
all the chat about it in the world won't effect the lunacy of the price of this lego and ultimately if people want to start paying 50k for a piece of lego and everyone excepts thats the price then there is very little we can do about it.
Even if the lunacy continues, it will be below $15,000.
You cannot be certain that it will be less than €15k next year
I can be only about 99% sure.
I can be only about 99% sure.
Hi BK
Let's just clarify this. If it reaches zero, you will send me €1,000.
If it's above that, I have to post a picture of myself wearing the I love Bitcoin T shirt?
I'm on.
I will post it now, if you send the €1,000 now to a charity of my choice.
Brendan
Correct.
I can be only about 99% sure.
But the odds I got were 7/5 for a bet with a close to zero chance of losing.
As I said, like free money, but not quite free money.
Brendan
Why should he take those odds when he can get far better value by shorting in IG?These are the posts I really struggle with but if your 99% sure i'll offer you odds that be hard to turn down.
I'll lay you up to 100k euro at 1/10 on Bitcoin price above/below $15,000 on 31 December 2018
So to be clear you can win a max of 10,000
Actually I'm with you there, I would never try to beat the market. But all the learned ones are saying this is a bubble, that is they are saying that this time the market is irrational. As a great believer in the market I don't think it will stay irrational for long, this is a very rare opportunity to exploit.They should be shut down you don’t beat the market well there are a tiny % that do but do you really read posts from people on boards or motley fool etc and take them opinions?
I’m happy to believe in market efficiencies I don’t care what anyone on a forum think a share is worth it’s there for the masses to value , saves me time and it’s going to be correct far more often.
I think you misunderstand the role of a bookie. It is not to stake his judgement against the populace, is to try and strike the balance in the populace so as to make his cut. Brendan and I bet €145 each at 7/5, maybe others were in as well, all the same it was pretty easy to get PP to make a fairly dramatic change from 7/5 to 5/6.Im more intrigued with the call for the date. Anyone following bitcoin will be aware of its volatility. Also aware of its 9yr bull run.
Im guessing anyone can guess its price will fall, but its the timing of the call im intrigued with.
Afterall PP is effectively calling it 50:50 (excluding their cut), what insight do you have to call it 99% certain?
I'll take the BTC to zero bet anytime you like Brendan, you name the date.
If it's zero on that date I'll send you a grand, if it's not you post a photo of you wearing
Well Duke it’s Free money for him , he’s 99% sure I’m not asking him to put the cash up front , I’ll show a screenshot of 10k I’ll transfer to a separate account , I’ll take Brendan’s word as he’s well known if he’s wrong he can sell shares or something to pay me I don’t mind. In his mind 99% of the time he will never have to pay me , I think I’m been fair 1/10 on a dead cert and he can have it on Credit .
I'll lay you up to 100k euro at 1/10 on Bitcoin price above/below $15,000 on 31 December 2018
Thanks Brendan,I backed it yesterday when the odds were 7/5
Unfortunately, the maximum bet was only €145. Still it's like free money, although you have to wait a year for it.
Brendan
I backed it yesterday when the odds were 7/5
Unfortunately, the maximum bet was only €145. Still it's like free money, although you have to wait a year for it.
Brendan
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