Sophrosyne
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Where will the next major outbreak(s) that we should have known about be?
Might be what we are paying for but we not doing it and haven't for months if we ever did.
Clusters and Outbreaks in factories <anip> were seen in plenty of other countries and we didn't do anything
When you have the industry bodies saying they're following best practice but still pushing for advance notice of inspections...
As far as I know the whole testing and tracing system is internal to the public service, only using state laboratories. Surely they could subcontract this out to the private sector aswell, any competetant science graduate could do the test, afterall its mostly mechanistic and repeatable, once you can do one you can do a thousand, the most important component is the chemical reagant, its not like looking an x rayWe went through months of a lockdown to enable them to avoid a surge in the health system and give them time to build a test and trace system that worked. Instead they wound the system down as numbers fell.
As far as I know the whole testing and tracing system is internal to the public service, only using state laboratories.
You expect the statistics to be the same everyday?
Its clear from the figures the general direction of cases increasing... something like 4th highest rate of increase in EU.
Daily blips are just an admin thing.
Its the increase trend that is real concern not the raw numbers. And the R number is now 1.6.
This virus can double week on week.
Using new case numbers as some kind of barometer for measuring the effectiveness of policies against COVID19 is pointless because so few tests are carried out.
Using new case numbers as some kind of barometer for measuring the effectiveness of policies against COVID19 is pointless because so few tests are carried out. Even if 100k tests a day are carried out you have no idea how many others have or haven't got the virus, or had it previously. So you absolutely can't conclude, even though most do, that the virus is on the increase.
Draw your own conclusions from the charts below as to how we're doing against COVID19.
If there's a large number of under 45s infected now, important to know that for community transmission to vulnerable groups.
This trend has been happening for a while that under 45s are socializing much more and are being infected yet no big increase in hospital admissions, the same trend all over Europe. In fairness it can get out of hand like in Spain but they had bars nightclubs and music open, no fear of that here since most of these still absolutely shut.
We are not getting to zero cOvid, there seem to be a few influential people in nphet that are a bit delusional about achieving this. We don't have the state infrastructure to do it, New Zealand uses army to enforce quarantine, not a chance of that happening here.
That really all depends on the consistency of the criteria being used to select people for testing. No scientific study tests entire populations or even large portions of them, but a sample size of thousands a day is more than enough to make reliable estimates of the overall population, provided the sample selection criteria are sound and consistent.
We're not randomly testing the people. We're testing the people reporting the symptoms of covid19.
The majority of tests done are on symptomatic cases even though 80%+ of cases are asymptomatic. Who is ringing their GP to organize for a test if they feel fine? The questions in the Covid app are clearly designed to identify symptomatic cases. Rising case numbers, based on a severely biased sample, does not allow one to deduce that the virus is spreading.
The majority of tests done are on symptomatic cases even though 80%+ of cases are asymptomatic. Who is ringing their GP to organize for a test if they feel fine? The questions in the Covid app are clearly designed to identify symptomatic cases. Rising case numbers, based on a severely biased sample, does not allow one to deduce that the virus is spreading.
The majority of tests done are on symptomatic cases even though 80%+ of cases are asymptomatic.
Do you have a source stating 80p.c. are asymptomatic i.e. never get symptoms.
I thought many of those turned out to be presymptomatic.