An unsuitable President ? And the failure of mainstream politics

But his description of himself - in his column defending his refusal to assist with Steen's nomination - as a liberal suggested to me that liberalism has many differing definitions, and some of them are more subjective than others!
I think he's a Social Liberal with a leaning towards Classical Liberalism. The problem is that many people think that liberal means socialist, which couldn't be further from the truth.
 
She became famous for trying (and failing, twice) to deny choice to fellow citizens. Hoepfully she and her supporters finally understand the importance of giving people the options they want, even if it's not what you would choose for yourself.
Was that divorce and abortion?
 
Fingal - 24 non Gov councilors, 14 FF/Fg councilors. Steen got 4 votes.
I wouldn't have thought Fingal would be best hunting ground for Steen, lot more other councils around where her message might have been better received but no point trying as they have a FF\FG majority. But I think her better route was via the Oireachtas.
 
I wouldn't have thought Fingal would be best hunting ground for Steen, lot more other councils around where her message might have been better received but no point trying as they have a FF\FG majority. But I think her better route was via the Oireachtas.
Fingal doesn't have a FF/FG majority. Combined they have 13 out of 40 (I miscounted and gave 14 in previous post)
https://www.fingal.ie/news/40-fingal-councillors-elected-across-seven-leas

Realistically though there are only 4 right wing councilors in Fingal and that's where her 4 votes came from. The other 36 (90%) abstained, didn't turn up or voted for Sheridan.

Oireachtas was the only potential route and even with very forceful lobbying, she didn't get 20 nominations out of about 107 non government members. So excluding Government TD's and Senators, she got a paltry 16% support from the opposition benches.
 
Fingal doesn't have a FF/FG majority
I didn't say it did though: lot more other councils around where her message might have been better received but no point trying as they have a FF\FG majority.
FF&FG orders to their councillors played a role in narrowing the field. I even said I thought Sheridan was more impacted by this than Steen, but it was obvious there was no point in her trying councils where FF&FG together had a majority\effective balance.
Why do you think she didn't try councils in areas which registered the highest NO votes in referendums she opposed?

I didn't suggest it was solely down to FF&FG.
 
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So excluding Government TD's and Senators, she got a paltry 16% support from the opposition benches.

I assume that before calculating that impressive statistic, you made sure to exclude every member of the "opposition benches" whose party leaders had plumped for the Independent Candidate?
 
Realistically though there are only 4 right wing councilors in Fingal and that's where her 4 votes came from. The other 36 (90%) abstained, didn't turn up or voted for Sheridan
Aontú are conservative but hardly right wing. The National Party is. Who else makes up the 4?
 
I assume that before calculating that impressive statistic, you made sure to exclude every member of the "opposition benches" whose party leaders had plumped for the Independent Candidate?
Why? They could have also nominated her. FF and FG are being accused of restricting the vote of their elected members (even though that's what political parties always do) so how come the opposition parties aren't getting tarred with the same brush?
 
Certainly same-sex marriage and abortion. I don't know what her position on divorce is and wouldn't assume either way.
I think same sex marriage and abortion are very different issues and shouldn't be conflated as similar "social issues".

For the record I voted yes to both, the former without any reservation, the latter with many reservations.

My uncle, who is gay, voted against both.
I'm not a fan of Maria Steen but I'm also not a fan of social tribalism or lack of social nuance or identity politics which pigeon-holes people into ill defined groups.
 
I think same sex marriage and abortion are very different issues and shouldn't be conflated as similar "social issues".

For the record I voted yes to both, the former without any reservation, the latter with many reservations.

My uncle, who is gay, voted against both.
I'm not a fan of Maria Steen but I'm also not a fan of social tribalism or lack of social nuance or identity politics which pigeon-holes people into ill defined groups.

The point is that Steen and her supporters are upset that voters were not given a choice about a role that many feel does not make much difference.

She made her name trying to deny other people very important choices in their lives, e.g. who they can marry or when to start a family. She is a member of the Iona Institute which opposes a raft of personal choices from divorce to fertility treatments. The irony is extreme.
 
The point is that Steen and her supporters are upset that voters were not given a choice about a role that many feel does not make much difference.
I kind of agree with her on that point but I don't blame the Government parties.

She made her name trying to deny other people very important choices in their lives, e.g. who they can marry or when to start a family.
Again, marriage equality and abortion are vastly different issues.

She is a member of the Iona Institute which opposes a raft of personal choices from divorce to fertility treatments. The irony is extreme.
As she and they entitled to do.
There are other people who opposes a different raft of personal choices from gun ownership to assisted dying. If those people held the same views as Steen about access to Presidential nominations would it also be ironic?
 
She should absolutely have been on the ballot and there are many parties to blame for that, herself included.

She is entitled to free speech and to campaign against things like same sex marriage, but it's a bit rich to then complain that she/voters have had a (relatively inconsequential) choice taken away.
 
She's nowhere close to him politically. McDowell is a social liberal and secularist
Don't agree with that at all, maybe back in the 80s when mcdowell was a young gun with the PDs you could have said that. In reality he is as much a conservative on social issues now as steen is. He was the minister for justice that was responsible for the referendum restricting automatic citizenship to babies born in Ireland to foreign mothers which was being widely abused. That was among the most conservative referendums ever held in Ireland.

I think it was really personal and political jealousy, he didn't want steen winning because he saw himself in that role, with Catherine Connolly as president he doesn't have to concern himself with what might have been. He is as much to blame as Michael Martin for restricting the ballot by not endorsing her
 
That was among the most conservative referendums ever held in Ireland.
Struggling to see how that was a "social issue" referendum as opposed to immigration. It is a political issue but it is not a social issue in the same way as divorce, abortion etc.

McDowell publicly backed eg the repeal of the 8th amendment in 2018.
Steen opposed it.
The PDs were strongly in support of the divorce referendum in 1998.
They brought in a referendum on abortion in coalition with FF that tried to strike a middle ground and was opposed by the hardcore pro-life movement and defeated.
The suggestion he is "just as conservative" on social issues as Steen much doesn't stand up to scrutiny.
They were aligned on one referendum vote.
 
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She is a member of the Iona Institute
She hasn't been a member of Iona for many years and that has been reported
He was the minister for justice that was responsible for the referendum restricting automatic citizenship to babies born in Ireland to foreign mothers which was being widely abused. That was among the most conservative referendums ever held in Ireland.
How that referendum is considered amongst the most conservative ever held here or even conservative at all is quiet a statement.

It brought us into line with the majority of the EU.
The situation here with ambulances in some instances having to meet heavily pregnant women coming off planes to take them to hospital led to the Masters of the Maternity Hospitals commenting on that at the time.
It was putting the life's of both mothers and babies at risk in some instances travelling by air and sea to get here at the last minute.
It was creating problems in asylum centres which were overcrowded at the time as our new found wealth had started to lead to a big increase in asylum numbers, something we never had experience of before at those levels

It was passed by 80% of the population, one of the most comprehensive results in a referendum ever held here, despite some of the opposition and various tax funded NGO's running campaigns against it incl those billboards which implied that McDowell was racist and were genuinely viewed to be in very bad taste. Trumpian before Trump ever ran for office!
 
Saw some interesting Paddy Power specials on the election yesterday.

Evens on Jim Gavin getting at least 8%; Evens on spoiled votes being at least 10%; and Evens on the turnout being less than 40%.

If all that came to pass does that mean that only around 22% of the total electorate would give a first preference to the two candidates? Am I correct in this?
22% would be amazingly low participation in the actual contest by Irish standards, I reckon, and would mean that the two candidates would probably have the support of 14% and 8% of the total electorate and the winner getting somewhere above 500,000 votes.

However, to be fair, Connolly is ahead in opinion polls in all regions and all age categories.
That’s probably as much a reflection on the alternative candidate as herself but she still connected far better with people.

it’s the failure of FF and FG and the next Dáil election that worries me.
I was also worried about the next election and a SF left alliance, but only half a million votes for Connolly would be modest enough and more a reflection on the government parties’ haphazard approach than huge mobilisation by the left.

Not mentioned much anywhere, but there will be a by-election to replace Connolly. That was Michael D's seat previously, so will be interesting for the left but could also become a serious test for the leaders of FF and FG.

Having only 2 candidates competing was good for Connolly, I think; I thought Heather’s selling point was weak, little more than, I’m not CC. I think that it turned into a sort of referendum on CC.
Having 4 leaders plus SF coming out batting for CC was effective also and good optics even if the 4 small parties only have 12/14% in the polls between them. Still looked impressive in comparison to Heather’s team.

I think she could have gotten 20 endorsements from the Oireachtas. More chance of that for her imo than 4 county councils
Her chance was through the independents in the Oireachtas. There were a number of independents and Junior Minister Independents who didn’t back her. Healy Rae and Harkin did and Verona might have had if she wasn’t Ceann Comhairle.

They blocked one of her potential paths via county \ city councils.
I don’t have a problem with that; I don’t see why a political party would allow somebody into the race which would reduce their chance of winning. It’s a contest after all.

I'd probably have held my nose and voted from Steen ahead of Connolly.
Same with me and had she got on the ballot she’d have gone close.
McDowell apparently reckoned that Gavin wouldn’t get momentum and Steen would be ahead of him; Steen then would overtake Humphries on his transfers. He had a sound reasoning, though I doubt that he factored in the mess that FF and FG would make of it to allow Connolly come through and win!
 
I don’t see why a political party would allow somebody into the race which would reduce their chance of winning. It’s a contest after all.
I personally think their councillors should abstain, and only vote against candidates they think would not be 'fit and proper' for the office \ don't understand it.
I don't think it should be a blanket vote against anyone and everyone else.
It does make them look bad (weak) and I think in this election as a tactic it has backfired on FF&FG.
 
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