UK House Prices may Plunge up to 40%

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here we go again

Here are some fundamental factors underpinning the Irish property market:

VERY low interest rates, at 50-yr lows, you can borrow under 3%.

Strong demographic profile, plenty in the 25-35 age group

Continued wage and employment growth

All-time low emigration and high immigration
 
here we go

A picture paints a thousand words. No doubt many if not most properties are being sold by investors/speculators, disillusioned by the poor performance of their investments. The fact that capital growth was the main driver of the buy to let (buy to bet says I) market and spiralling prices have now stalled, suggests that we are entering a new phase in the unravelling of the great Irish property bubble.

A change in sentiment is obviously underway, a change in sentiment, which has gone entirely unreported in the media. These investors are wisely looking to lock in capital gain at the top of the market; however selling property is not like selling shares or gilts. The length of time taken from making the decision to sell to achieving a sale is measured in months/years not seconds.

If the market is to have a soft landing buyers most emerge who are willing to pay the asking price, now. I know that we as a nation are purportedly a little slow on the pick up, but to imagine that thousands of buyers (first time buyers btw) will come charging down the streets to save the bloated, teetering market is pure fantasy, no nation contains that many fools.

Prepare yourselves for the spin as the banks, estate agents developers and the media rush to shore up the unsound foundations of the edifice that they have conspired to create. It now seems that the market, that lest sentimental judge of fair price, is to have the last say. We are living in interesting times.
 
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quote:
--"VERY low interest rates, at 50-yr lows, you can borrow under 3%."--


"True" interest rates should be calculated as follows;

Interest Rate - Inflation Rate = True Rate

Therefore looking at historical rates, when rates appeared high deduct off the higher inflation rates and compare that to now.

You might find things aren't as different now (in terms of rates) as you may have thought they were compared to the past.

Face facts, we're in one big-time dot-com-style bubble.
 
Re: here we go

A picture paints a thousand words. No doubt many if not most properties are being sold by investors/speculators, disillusioned by the poor performance of their investments. The fact that capital growth was the main driver of the buy to let (buy to bet says I) market and spiralling prices have now stalled, suggests that we are entering a new phase in the unravelling of the great Irish property bubble.

A change in sentiment is obviously underway, a change in sentiment, which has gone entirely unreported in the media. These investors are wisely looking to lock in capital gain at the top of the market; however selling property is not like selling shares or gilts. The length of time taken from making the decision to sell to achieving a sale is measured in months/years not seconds.

If the market is to have a soft landing buyers most emerge who are willing to pay the asking price, now. I know that we as a nation are purportedly a little slow on the pick up, but to imagine that thousands of buyers (first time buyers btw) will come charging down the streets to save the bloated, teetering market is pure fantasy, no nation contains that many fools.

Prepare yourselves for the spin as the banks, estate agents developers and the media rush to shore up the unsound foundations of the edifice that they have conspired to create. It now seems that the market, that lest sentimental judge of fair price, is to have the last say. We are living in interesting times.

in what you say is the truth
people in this country are stupid in paying high prices, family/life suffer
i know of coleagues living well below 400euros a month paying mortgages,
combination of commuting/mortgages and bills and they aren't getting any cheaper
quality of life gone down the drain in pursuit of a living a lie
we are all rich because are house is worth x,y or z
big joke
 
UK house prices up 1.4% in November

November 30, 2006 08:27
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UK house prices jumped 1.4% this month, taking the annual increase up to 9.6%, its highest since February last year, the Nationwide Building Society said today.
That was nearly twice the monthly rise of 0.8% in October, when prices were 8%higher on the year and suggests that two increases in borrowing costs in the last three months have not dampened demand.
Bank of England policymakers may worry that the housing market is showing no signs of cooling even with interest rates at a five-year high.
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