THE HSE IS predicting that the peak of the coronavirus outbreak in Ireland will occur in two weeks time, between the 10 and 14 of April, according to the chief operations officer.
The chair of the NPHET Irish Epidemiological Modelling Advisory Group has said it was not possible to make a prediction on the surge in Covid-19 cases at this time, as more time was needed for a more reliable picture.
RTE is even more cautious in its reporting:
More time needed for reliable surge projection - NPHET
Professor Philip Nolan, Chair of the NPHET Irish Epidemiological Modelling Advisory Group, has said it is not possible to make a prediction on the surge in Covid-19 cases at this time, as more time was needed for a more reliable picture.www.rte.ie
The chair of the NPHET Irish Epidemiological Modelling Advisory Group has said it was not possible to make a prediction on the surge in Covid-19 cases at this time, as more time was needed for a more reliable picture.
Speaking at this evening's Covid-19 briefing at the Department of Health, Professor Philip Nolan said that to make projections now on what things will be like in a few weeks or months would be inappropriate and based on assumptions that would be too broad.
I am quite happy for a more pessimistic/cautious outlook on how things are going myself.
It's a tough call.
If you give people some hope, they might well be prepared to put up with the restrictions knowing that there is light at the end of the tunnel.
If you tell people that everyone is going to die of this, then they might throw in the towel.
Brendan
what are the numbers for recovered people. that number gives people hope that those getting sick also get better
Still at 5 but I wouldn’t stress that number too highly as it takes a long time for recovery if hospitalised and I’m not sure how closely they are monitoring those with minor symptoms.
Only numbers of any real concern are hospitalisations, ICU admisssions and deaths really. To a lesser extent the daily new case number is also relevant but less of a critical issue if the other numbers are not rising in tandem.
I would be very surprised if she actually said that. If she did, she shouldn't have, because there's a bit of a shock coming down the line and she would have known that.
Yes, I got it and understand. I have deleted my original post, I think.I take your point... but here is the link to the brief RTE article:
As it happened: More than 3,000 cases in Ireland
The President of the Intensive Care Society of Ireland says she is encouraged that there is a fall off in Covid-19 cases and contact cases and "devoutly hopes" that the restrictions are working and will continue to work. However, Dr …www.rte.ie
Yes, I got it and understand. I have deleted my original post, I think.
Aw, I thought you might have some inside infoI deleted your edited post and my reply.
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