Mary-Lou "United Ireland is within touching distance"

Direct rule was imposed on 30 March 1972, some two months after Bloody Sunday in Derry. Internment, which is what the protest march in Derry was against, remained in force under direct rule until December 1975!
It takes time to unwind such structures, especially when the IRA was doing all they could to keep them in place. The last thing they wanted was fair and impartial rule from Westminster.
It would take some 40yrs before the British gov acknowledged the unlawful murders by its military.
Yep, and there's still plenty that they don't acknowledge. Then again we don't acknowledge that the first person killed in the Easter Rising was an unarmed police officer and we still lionise people like Kevin Barry, even though he shot an unarmed 15 year old boy in the face for the crime of wearing a British uniform while collecting bread from a bakery. The soldiers had been surprised by the IRA and had complied when told to lay down their arms but the IRA men shot them anyway.
 
we run the risk of religious fundamentalists (AKA the DUP) being one of the major if not the main opposition party in the Dail, then suddenly it looks a lot less inviting.
Imagine a Party with all the homophobes and transphobes and xenophobes and misogynists and religious fundamentalists in one place. A "Basket of Deplorables" with international funding and supported by all the detritus in society. I recon they'd get 10-15% of the vote, possible far more.
 
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The numbers of Protestants in the country declined sharply in the decades after Independence. Do you think that they just chose to leave their own country? What do you think happened?
In the 4 years after Independence 40,000 Protestants fled the country in fear as a new State was constructed which excluded them. Around 150-200 Protestants were murdered and there were mini pogroms around the country, particularly in West Cork. In Bandon and Dunmanway there were 13 murdered in one night in April 1922. The youngest was a teenaged boy.

I have no doubt that the sectarian killings of Protestants drove many to leave the areas but when you talk about ethnic cleansing, and associate it to the new Free State, it is simply not true. Neither the Stormont or Dublin administrations implemented policies, covertly or otherwise, to ethnically cleanse Protestants or Catholics. You have inferred that Protestants fled the country in fear as the new State was constructed to exclude them, that this equates to 'ethnic cleansing' - this is a falsehood.
Fleeing a State in fear of persecution or discrimination is not ethnic cleansing - it is fear generated on perception, whether real or imagined, or exaggerated.

What was happening in Northern Ireland was worse but that in no way excuses what happened in this country. But the actions of both States in the years after partition look like ethnic cleansing to me. The net result here was a reduction

On the second paragraph of that link "Although scholars do not agree on which events constitute ethnic cleansing"...so perhaps advisable we try not to define it? You have given your example, you might equate it to this population decline of Irish people that includes Protestant and Catholics?

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We'd probably still be British so I'm glad they did since I'm a Republican though not a Nationalist.

Ireland was never British. Under British rule, yes, but as part of the UK of GB and Ireland, Ireland was never British save a minority that identify as such.

There's a very strong case to be made that we would have achieved independence if the Rising never happened.

True, but it is all speculative. However, I would have rather the British stood firm against the Unionists and upheld their own laws when it came to the rights obtained by Ireland through democratic and constitutional means.

A poll in 2015 asked people in the Republic if they were in favour of a United Ireland if it meant they would pay more taxes, 31% said they were, 44% said they would vote against it.

31% in favour and 44% against. 25% undecided?

I would say that is very positive figure for a UI. Think about it, the question was "if it meant paying more taxes"? 33% said 'Yes', with 25% undecided!!

I can only imagine that if the poll were tomorrow, sentiment and identity would surge and the tax question would be obliterated.
That's not a decline, it's a proportionate increase in the Catholic population
Versus a stagnation of the Protestant population, what happened?
The point being, that there are many, many factors that may be attributable to a population decline. If the Protestant population couldnt grow in a Protestant State for a Protestant people, what hope in a Catholic State?

It takes time to unwind such structures

"such structures", such as internment without trial only takes a Ministerial order to release all those in custody that have no charges pending. It could have been done in the dead of night, similar to how it was introduced.
 
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I have no doubt that the sectarian killings of Protestants drove many to leave the areas but when you talk about ethnic cleansing, and associate it to the new Free State, it is simply not true. Neither the Stormont or Dublin administrations implemented policies, covertly or otherwise, to ethnically cleanse Protestants or Catholics.
The Unionist Government in Northern Ireland were very active in instituting policies to exclude and reduce the Nationalist/Catholic population.
The dominance of the RC Church and the policies of this country very much excluded Protestants and made them into strangers in their own land. That amounted to de facto ethnic cleansing.
You have inferred that Protestants fled the country in fear as the new State was constructed to exclude them, that this equates to 'ethnic cleansing' - this is a falsehood.
No it's not.
Fleeing a State in fear of persecution or discrimination is not ethnic cleansing - it is fear generated on perception, whether real or imagined, or exaggerated.
Oh right so, I'll have to remember that.

On the second paragraph of that link "Although scholars do not agree on which events constitute ethnic cleansing"...so perhaps advisable we try not to define it?
Yea, so how come you get to define what it isn't?

You have given your example, you might equate it to this population decline of Irish people that includes Protestant and Catholics?

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What are you talking about?
Ireland was never British. Under British rule, yes, but as part of the UK of GB and Ireland, Ireland was never British save a minority that identify as such.
We were British subjects. I'm glad we're not anymore. I'm not a fan of the "They started it" justification for a small minority or scumbags with no popular support murdering children and enriching themselves through criminality, as the PIRA did in their murderous terrorist campaign over more than 30 years.

True, but it is all speculative. However, I would have rather the British stood firm against the Unionists and upheld their own laws when it came to the rights obtained by Ireland through democratic and constitutional means.
So would I but that in no way justified Nationalists doing the same and worse.

31% in favour and 44% against. 25% undecided?

I would say that is very positive figure for a UI. Think about it, the question was "if it meant paying more taxes"? 33% said 'Yes', with 25% undecided!!

I can only imagine that if the poll were tomorrow, sentiment and identity would surge and the tax question would be obliterated.
You've a vivid imagination.

Versus a stagnation of the Protestant population, what happened?
A hateful fundamentalist failed statelet with no economy which was rife with sectarianism and terrorism. Sure what was not to like about it?

The point being, that there are many, many factors that may be attributable to a population decline. If the Protestant population couldnt grow in a Protestant State for a Protestant people, what hope in a Catholic State?
If you're going to use that quote then you really should use the whole quote in context and not a sectarian mis framing of it popularised by people who knew better.

"such structures", such as internment without trial only takes a Ministerial order to release all those in custody that have no charges pending. It could have been done in the dead of night, similar to how it was introduced.
Yea, but there was a bunch of pseudo-Republican child murdering terrorists doing all they could to make sure that didn't happen.
 
31% in favour and 44% against. 25% undecided?

I would say that is very positive figure for a UI. Think about it, the question was "if it meant paying more taxes"? 33% said 'Yes', with 25% undecided!!

I can only imagine that if the poll were tomorrow, sentiment and identity would surge and the tax question would be obliterated.

Of course, you could also take the view that 7 out of 10 people were against or undecided about UI if it meant paying more taxes. It would need almost 80% of the undecided to break for UI for it to get passed. Given how so many people are struggling to put food on the table and keep a roof over their head, another €1000 a year (or whatever it would need to be) in water charges, property taxes and unification charges will influence a lot. IF SF/UI supporters think the nation is going to wrap itself in a green flag just because of history and sentiment, then a poll will be even closer. Indeed, if that is the only reason to vote for UI, then a poll is doomed on both sides.

And there is another reason as well where a UI poll could struggle. It means nothing to a lot of people in the country. I'm in my 50's, been to the North a 100 times, my priorities are putting my kids through school and college, maybe giving them a start to buy a house and hoping they won't emigrate. UI doesn't make it anywhere near the top 25 in my list of priorities and the same applies for most people I know.
 
And there is another reason as well where a UI poll could struggle. It means nothing to a lot of people in the country. I'm in my 50's, been to the North a 100 times, my priorities are putting my kids through school and college, maybe giving them a start to buy a house and hoping they won't emigrate. UI doesn't make it anywhere near the top 25 in my list of priorities and the same applies for most people I know.
Exactly, as people get older and they have children they are less interested in issues of principle which will disadvantage their children. They are also more likely to vote.
 
Imagine a Party with all the homophobes and transphobes and xenophobes and misogynists and religious fundamentalists in one place. A "Basket of Deplorables" with international funding and supported by all the detritus in society. I recon they'd get 10-15% of the vote, possible far more.

Where do I sign up? And will my mates Conor McGregor and Enoch Burke be involved?
 
And there is another reason as well where a UI poll could struggle. It means nothing to a lot of people in the country. I'm in my 50's, been to the North a 100 times, my priorities are putting my kids through school and college, maybe giving them a start to buy a house and hoping they won't emigrate. UI doesn't make it anywhere near the top 25 in my list of priorities and the same applies for most people I know.

So, when Mary Lou's dream referendum comes along, will you

(a) not bother to vote as you're not interested
or
(b) turn up and vote No to a UI; thereby abandoning all those deprived NI nationalists who are suffering under Keir Starmer's and Michelle O'Neill's reign of terror
or
(c) turn up and think to yourself "what the heck, I may as well vote Yes"!

Never forget that that the referendum to abolish the Seanad had a turn out of only 39% - which may well be why we're still stuck with it!
 
o, when Mary Lou's dream referendum comes along, will you

(a) not bother to vote as you're not interested
or
(b) turn up and vote No to a UI; thereby abandoning all those deprived NI nationalists who are suffering under Keir Starmer's and Michelle O'Neill's reign of terror
or
(c) turn up and think to yourself "what the heck, I may as well vote Yes"
I always vote, I'm a firm believer that if you don't vote, you lose the right to moan and complain.

I don't know what way I would vote but I would like to think it will be an informed decision. Right now, there are insufficient facts and proposals to make that decision. The only fact I have right now is that Mary Lou wants it and that is not a selling point for me

However, having heard Canary Wharf get blown up, having heard a no warning litter-bin bomb go off in the West End of London 2 streets away on my way to see a play one evening, having worked for a company that had it's head office blown up in the Bishopsgate bombing, my green tinted specs have dimmed a lot over the years given the fact that Mary Lou's cronies didn't care if they blew up Irish immigrants in England or not. That was not a selling point for UI for me or a lot of people who have lived across the water. So in addition to facts and concrete proposals, an apology from Mary Lou on behalf of her true Lords and Masters for trying to kill me and my girlfriend at the time would help as well. I've a feeling I'll be waiting.
 
So, when Mary Lou's dream referendum comes along, will you

(a) not bother to vote as you're not interested
or
(b) turn up and vote No to a UI; thereby abandoning all those deprived NI nationalists who are suffering under Keir Starmer's and Michelle O'Neill's reign of terror
or
(c) turn up and think to yourself "what the heck, I may as well vote Yes"!

Never forget that that the referendum to abolish the Seanad had a turn out of only 39% - which may well be why we're still stuck with it!
Don't forget that the Unionists are also living under their reign of terror. Once free of the Crown and it's malevolent influence they would also embrace Irish Freedom (because like, they aren't free now) and all become good Celtic supporting Nationalists. We'd discover oil and gold and all live in peace and harmony, so much so that murdering all those kids, disappearing mothers for the crime of comforting a dying soldier who was not much more than a child himself, blowing up pensioners on Remembrance Day, running protection rackets, licencing the sale of drugs murdering Irish soldiers and Gardaí, kidnapping people, covering up child rape and blowing up Nuns etc will all have been worth it.
 
I don't know what way I would vote but I would like to think it will be an informed decision. Right now, there are insufficient facts and proposals to make that decision. The only fact I have right now is that Mary Lou wants it and that is not a selling point for me
That's the key issue. A united Ireland would be a new country, not the North joining Ireland (or, in the Irish language, Éire).
We've have a new constitution, a new flag, a new Anthem (or possibly a return to an old one :D) and, as I said previously, we may have the UK Monarch as our Head of State (rather than our current Queen) and we'd probably have to join the Commonwealth. We'd also be much poorer, have a much bigger problem with racism and homophobia, have a much bigger Public Sector, have a large under educated welfare dependent underclass and we've have a terrorism problem for the foreseeable future. Other than that? I can't think of a single reason to vote against it... oh, wait there's actually a load more reasons...
 
Those so-called "freedom fighters" were terrible people, right enough; but at least they didn't try to murder the entire Miami Showband. :(
Two sides of the same coin. Both sides murdered children and innocent bystanders. Both sides committed the most appalling atrocities. Neither side had a democratic mandate or anywhere close to the support of a majority of the community they claimed to represent.
 
That's the key issue. A united Ireland would be a new country, not the North joining Ireland (or, in the Irish language, Éire).
I think that's a point a lot of people ignore, we have to persuade Northern Unionists to want to join the new nation, not simply force them in because 50%+1 voted for it. That is a receipe for disaster.

In a funny way, Brexit could help a UI poll, especially with the Unionist agricultural community and the business community.

Likewise, a new flag would probably need a Union Jack somewhere on it (similar to New Zealand perhaps), a new anthem (Mountains of Mourne anyone?). A united football league (anyone fancy Linfield v Derry)?.

If we assume the challenge is to persuade a majority in the North to vote for it, most of the taxation changes would need to be down South. We'd probably accept the lower VAT rate (hospitality trade would love that) but the loss of revenue would have to be offset as a result so water charges and higher property charges would be inevitable in a "trade off". However harmonising the PAYE/PRSI system would be a mare. NI would probably have to accept the Euro, we'd have to accept the glorious 12th as a BH (fine by me, another day off) . Joining the Commonwealth would be a no-brainer, some countries in it have no ties to Britain (Togo for example) so that's not a big deal.

Would we have to join NATO as a result or would the UK/NATO be willing to give up any bases in the North? Would you want your son or daughter joining the new Police Service of Ireland and getting posted to Larne or Portadown?.

And before anyone says "Germany did it", yes they did, but they had not spent the previous 50 (or 350 years depending on how you look at it) trying to kill each other over flags, emblems, land and religion and bigotry.

Mind you, we also have the Burkes down here who think the DUP are too liberal and 15K+ people have signed Connor McGregors petition so we have some challenges down here also.
 
I think that's a point a lot of people ignore, we have to persuade Northern Unionists to want to join the new nation, not simply force them in because 50%+1 voted for it. That is a receipe for disaster.
Exactly. As Seamus Mallon put it, we shouldn't try to do to them what they did to us (us being the Catholics in NI).
In a funny way, Brexit could help a UI poll, especially with the Unionist agricultural community and the business community.
Yes, as economies align so does politics. Something the DUP is very aware of.
Likewise, a new flag would probably need a Union Jack somewhere on it (similar to New Zealand perhaps), a new anthem (Mountains of Mourne anyone?). A united football league (anyone fancy Linfield v Derry)?.
None of that would bother me. Okay, the Union Flag within our flag would bother me more than a bit (the Union Jack was what it was called when flown on the Jackstaff of a Royal Navy ship so it's more correct to call it the Union Flag, though since 1902 both are officially acceptable).
If we assume the challenge is to persuade a majority in the North to vote for it, most of the taxation changes would need to be down South. We'd probably accept the lower VAT rate (hospitality trade would love that) but the loss of revenue would have to be offset as a result so water charges and higher property charges would be inevitable in a "trade off". However harmonising the PAYE/PRSI system would be a mare. NI would probably have to accept the Euro, we'd have to accept the glorious 12th as a BH (fine by me, another day off) . Joining the Commonwealth would be a no-brainer, some countries in it have no ties to Britain (Togo for example) so that's not a big deal.
I agree with all of that. Rwanda joined the Commonwealth in 2009 without ever having a colonial history with Britain. They did it to annoy the French, probably for the French involvement in the 1994 Genocide there.
Would we have to join NATO as a result or would the UK/NATO be willing to give up any bases in the North?
Yes, and I'd be okay with that too.
Would you want your son or daughter joining the new Police Service of Ireland and getting posted to Larne or Portadown?.
Are they any worse than some parts of Dublin etc?
And before anyone says "Germany did it", yes they did, but they had not spent the previous 50 (or 350 years depending on how you look at it) trying to kill each other over flags, emblems, land and religion and bigotry.
And they'd actually been a modern nation state. The first of those were France after the revolution or before that more probably the Peace of Westphalia in 1648. We were never that.
Mind you, we also have the Burkes down here who think the DUP are too liberal and 15K+ people have signed Connor McGregors petition so we have some challenges down here also.
Yep, we've no shortage of bigots either. There's the people who have stopped supporting the Shinners because they are cool with murdering children but don't like Indian nurses.
 
The Unionist Government in Northern Ireland were very active in instituting policies to exclude and reduce the Nationalist/Catholic population.

There were instituted policies of exclusion and discrimination. This is not 'ethnic cleansing' any more than laws that instituted women from the workforce after marriage could be considered 'ethnic cleansing'. You are completely trying to re-write history to suit your own narrative. Nobody, nobody! anywhere, anytime has ever concluded that the policies of the Northern apartheid State amounted to ethnic cleansing, or even an attempt to ethnically cleanse the Catholic population. Ditto, the policies of the Southern Free State.

The pogroms, sectarian massacares on either side of the border were carried out by elements not associated to those that administered the law.

You are the first, and only person, I have ever come across that states, infers or implies that the governments of North and South instituted policies of ethnic cleansing.

Yea, so how come you get to define what it isn't?

Good point, it is my opinion that the decline of the Protestant population from 10% to 4% over a 100yr period does not amount to ethnic cleansing.
Anymore than the decline of the population of Ireland from 8m, including Protestant and Catholics, to just over 3m over a shorter period of time is ethnic cleansing. Although, I'd imagine if I were a scholar on the subject the decline of the Irish people in whole would be of far more significant of interest in determining what is ethnic cleansing. What would you think?

So would I but that in no way justified Nationalists doing the same and worse.

Why not? There was no rule of law anymore. Parliamentary democracy counted for nothing. Irish Unionists threatened Civil War on their neighbours, arming and organising themselves into a militia ready for war, ready to murder.
Why wouldn't Nationalists be justified in doing the same, and worse, if need be?
Yea, but there was a bunch of pseudo-Republican child murdering terrorists doing all they could to make sure that didn't happen.

Perverse logic. The IRA killing civilians prevented a British Minister from releasing civilians who were guilty of nothing? Instead, they shot down in cold-blood those that protested the policy of interning innocent civilians without charge.

How about holding the IRA responsible for their actions, and holding the British government responsible for their actions? They are big boy and girls.
 
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Of course, you could also take the view that 7 out of 10 people were against or undecided about UI if it meant paying more taxes

Or 6 out of 10 people in favour or undecided about a UI if it meant paying more taxes.
In reality, undecided no voters dont get to have a say.

You could of course be 100% correct, no doubt. We will never know until there is a vote.

The part that sticks out for me about the 'paying more taxes' part is, if you asked that question with any condition attached - "are you in favour of paying more taxes?" I'd imagine the number would drop substantially, to single figures. Im relied on by the fact that when I visit the Revenue website it prompts me to see if there are allowances and credits that I can claim to reduce my taxes. I can never find anything asking me to pay more taxes other than what I'm already liable for.

Yet, when conditioned with the prospect of a UI, being in favour of paying more taxes jumps to 33%.
It means nothing to a lot of people in the country. I'm in my 50's, been to the North a 100 times, my priorities are putting my kids through school and college, maybe giving them a start to buy a house and hoping they won't emigrate. UI doesn't make it anywhere near the top 25 in my list of priorities and the same applies for most people I know.

This is great point. And one that I wholly endorse. A UI is a low priority for me also. Im happy to let sleeping dogs lie.

However, who will be President of our country later this an even lower priority to me. Yet, later this year I will be faced with the question on who to vote for, if at all.
And that is the premise of my point - faced with the actual question, in an actual poll, I do think the sentiment of the green flag will surge to the fore.

I could of course be wrong. Maybe people down South will reject a UI and effectively copper-fasten partition indefinitely.
 
I don't know what way I would vote but I would like to think it will be an informed decision. Right now, there are insufficient facts and proposals to make that decision. The only fact I have right now is that Mary Lou wants it and that is not a selling point for me

I would agree with this.

MLMcD was simply flying kites in imo. Maybe sounding out the vibes for a Presidential run?

A UI is closer than before but it is happening organically rather than any direct instruments implemented by the political class. The only reason a UI became a topic of conversation in recent years was because of the Brexit Irish border debacle. It had nothing to with SF or any other Irish political party, it was British political divide and questions over the border that stoked the flames of a UI.

The fact that cross-border trade has gone from 7% to 22%. That the South is now 3.5 times the economy. Tourism from north to south and vice-versa is on a long-term rise. Irish language and GAA has crossed rubicons into places like East Belfast. Unionists and Nationalists having to engage more and more with each other in civic society, etc, etc.
 
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