Central Bank review of mortgage limits - no major changes

Brendan Burgess

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The only change:
Up to the end of December the lenders will be allowed to make 20% exceptions to the Loan to Income limit with no distinction between first time buyers and second time buyers. From 1 January, the 20% will continue for first time buyers, but the banks will be limited to making exceptions in only 10% of Second and Subsequent Buyers cases.

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28 November 2017



Review confirms core elements of mortgage measures remain unchanged


  • Mortgage measures now firmly established as a permanent feature of the Irish mortgage market to increase bank and borrower resilience and ensure the system can better withstand future economic shocks.
  • Core elements of the measures, the loan to income (LTI) and loan to value (LTV) limits, remain unchanged in 2018.
  • Separate loan to income allowances for first time and second time buyers introduced to improve the simplicity and effectiveness of the measures.

The [broken link removed] has been published by the Central Bank of Ireland. The review is based on analysis of mortgage lending data in the context of wider housing market developments. The review considered the appropriate setting for the measures in 2018, given the current conditions and the outlook for the credit and housing markets. It also examined any practical implementation issues indicated by the Central Bank’s ongoing monitoring and supervision of regulated mortgage providers.


The mortgage measures were introduced as a permanent feature of the market in 2015 to increase bank and borrower resilience and ensure the system can better withstand future economic shocks. The measures are a key element of the Central Bank’s macro-prudential policy in line with our mandate to safeguard financial stability and protect consumers. In accordance with our mandate, the Central Bank is committed to ensuring that the role played by mortgage credit in the wider housing market remains sustainable. The measures are not designed to target a specific level of, or growth in, house prices.


Announcing the outcome of the Review, Governor Philip R. Lane said, “Our analysis suggests that the level of house prices is broadly consistent with current economic developments but it remains important to mitigate the risks for households and banks in the event of a future decline in house prices. On this basis the core elements of the measures, the loan to income (LTI) and loan to value (LTV) limits, will remain unchanged in 2018. In particular, lending will continue to be limited to 3.5 times income. This is the anchor of the measures and an essential constraint on excessively risky lending.


“However, our analysis indicates that the measures could operate more effectively by introducing separate loan to income allowances, similar to those we introduced for loan to value allowances last year. From January 2018, there will be separate LTI allowance pools for FTBs and SSBs: up to 20 per cent of the value of new lending to FTBs and up to 10 per cent of the value of new lending to SSBs will be permitted above the 3.5 LTI limit.


“These allocations broadly reflect current lending patterns in excess of the LTI limit to FTBs and SSBs. In combination with the separation of LTV allowances for FTB and SSB groups that we introduced last year, this revision delivers a simpler, more sustainable long-term policy framework. The larger allowance for above-ceiling lending to FTBs compared to SSBs reflects the different characteristics of these two groups. In particular, first-time buyers are typically younger, with current income levels lower relative to expected future income levels. However, the measures remains sufficiently flexible to allow us to respond to risky lending developments, should they arise in either buyer group.”


The detailed report published today sets out the analysis underpinning the changes made following the Review. The report also details a further technical amendment to the mortgage measures in relation to calculations on the value of collateral in the case of mortgages issued for construction purposes. The technical amendment ensures that the current prudent practice in the market, of taking the lowest available valuation for mortgages financing construction works, such as in the case of renovations, continues into the future. This amendment is not expected to have a material impact on the market, as it reflects the most common practice.


The Central Bank will continue to monitor developments as part of the annual review of the mortgage measures.


Governor Lane concluded: “We will continue to monitor developments through our annual cycle of reviews. We stand ready to adjust these borrower-based measures and/or other macro-prudential policy tools as may be appropriate to safeguard the long-term sustainability of Irish mortgage lending and the stability of the wider financial system.”


ENDS


Further information: Nicola Faulkner, Media Relations Manager, , [email protected] or Calum Grant, Media Relations Officer, , [email protected]
 
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The reaction, or lack of reaction, to the Central Bank's decision not to make any significant changes is interesting.

People seem to have come to the realisation that these are good rules.

The only dissenting voice seems to be the mortgage brokers who want the LTI limits raised to 4.5 and more exceptions.

Brendan
 
This doesnt help people like me who are desperate to switch yet cant as large 2007 mortgage vs current income and out goings. Good LTV due to house prices increasing but simply stuck lining the pockets of Danske.
I dont see how im a risk when i pay my mortgage, have good LTV and could be saving a few hundred a month which makes me more able to pay my mortgage and bills..... oh the irony..!!!
 
This doesnt help people like me who are desperate to switch yet cant as large 2007 mortgage vs current income and out goings. Good LTV due to house prices increasing but simply stuck lining the pockets of Danske.
I dont see how im a risk when i pay my mortgage, have good LTV and could be saving a few hundred a month which makes me more able to pay my mortgage and bills..... oh the irony..!!!
Have you applied for an exception? Can you switch from Danske to another bank?
 
Hi Eureka

You are not affected at all by the Central Bank rules. Switchers are completely exempt from them.

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The bank's underwriting standards still applied.

Brendan
 

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Is it that one is allowed go 20% over the 3.5 or that 20% of all the people who apply can over the 3.5 (without specifying how much over?)

Does anyone know roughly how much over one is allowed go? And am I right in thinking you'd have better luck getting over the 3.5 in January than December?
 
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My understanding of this is that if they lend €100m to FTBs, up to €20m of that may be above the 3.5 limit.

So they can give a newly qualified doctor 6 times her salary if they want.

Yes, in January they will have a whole year ahead of them.

They tend to come close to the limits, so I would say that in December they wouldn't want to approve many more exceptions.

Brendan
 
The earlier in the year, the better.

The process is a shambles as borrowers obtain approval but may or may not draw down the funds...banks have no way of knowing what their exemptions will look like numbers wise.
 
Seems strange that the Central Bank didn't move to quarterly (or, perhaps, semi-annual) limits.

Or just simplify matters and drop the exemptions entirely.
 
I made a submission last year that they should be rolled over from year to year. So if they exceed the limit this year, then they reduce their limit next year. If they don't use up the limit, they carry forward the spare capacity to the following year.

Brendan
 
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