This is another ten-month update.
What has changed since July 2025?
(*) I am now 49.
(*) My personal investments increased from €194k in July 2025 to just over €250k today.
Of the €56k increase: €20k came from my wages; €36k was capital gain.
Allocation is 80/20, with the bonds being ten year national solidarity bonds from NTMA.
(*) My pension fund increased from €173k in July 2025 to €229k today.
Of the €55k increase: €20k came from my wages; €35k was capital gain over the last ten months.
Pension fund is 100% in a passive global index fund via New Ireland.
(*) No wage increase for 2026, so I effectively took another pay cut at the rate of inflation — around 3%.
(*) Employer share price collapsed over 70%. Thankfully I followed the advice of this board and sold most of my vested shares in 2023–24. The few shares I have left dropped in value from €12k to €3k.
(*) I'm still hanging on, but there are layoffs all around me and across the entire tech industry. We're expecting another 10%–20% RIF before Q4, probably September or October.
The main update is I have decided to sell my apartment in the next three to four years and rent for my remaining working life. I view the family home in Wexford as my acutal home; the apartment is just a shelter.
Renting - or renting then selling - has advantages if the apartment brings in over 13k net of all fees. But the household appliances - including a gas burner - are at their end of life so I would need to invest a non-trivial amount of money bringing it up to standard. Then I would need reserve funds for landlord duties and funds to cover bad tenants; money that would come from selling bonds or ETF shares. And ultimately I just do not want to be a landlord.
On the other hand, selling frees up over €300k. Roughly half of that money will fund my safe runway of five years outside the market while the rest would bolster my ETF investments. Any further personal investments outside my pension would then stop because of the high cost of Dublin rent.
So selling the apartment is the activation of my financial plan. It funds my safe runway of five years, bolsters my portfolio, and cuts the ties holding me in Dublin. If I do lose my job, it's a lot easier to move where the work is without worrying about an apartment in the suburbs with a long commute to the city center.
I have three scenarios mapped out for the next five years:
1) The happy path. I sell at age 53 and rent. Work becomes close to a lifestyle choice.
2) I am made redundant and receive a minimum of €26k severance with €15k state support paid over nine months.
2A) If this scenario activates after age 53, then it becomes a lifestyle decision like scenario 1. I would use the redundancy payment to fund the apartment sale while the welfare support would give me an income for a year.
2B) Before age 53, within the next three years, I would likely search for another job. Renting my apartment out for six years, using the redundancy for apartment repairs, then selling, could work out well in this scenario — but I'd rather not.
3) I am forced to leave work to care for elderly parents. I receive two years of state support.
My worst option is to do nothing with the apartment, as I'm paying maintenance fees. My preference is to sell using my bonds to finance the sale, as I wouldn't want the stress of being a landlord with the risk of bad tenants on top of caring duties. Financially this option becomes tight if it happens before age 53, but it's workable.
4) I burn out or am forced to become a carer without state support.
By far, the worst financial scenario to occur between ages 49–53, but I know plenty of people who were forced into caring without state support. I will receive six months of social welfare support, then nothing. Cashing in bonds to fund renting out the apartment for an income is likely the best option. The only real mitigation for this scenario is securing a work from home job - which are like gold dust at the moment.
So that's where I'm at. Any advice or comments are welcome !