Brendan
An observation this would be the case in 100% of posts involving saving for a minor, as it would a bare trust or similar solution; and I would venture, most cases involving a young adult with little or no investment experience.
By your reasoning nobody would ever invest because the future cannot be known with certainty so therefore everyone should always save in a traditional bank account.
that is patently not the case, and some people decide to invest some of their money as a form of deferred consumption having taken care of immediate saving needs.
so if it is the case that she could/should invest some of it then the question is simply what it is the most suitable and appropriate investment?
my blog post argues that many people don’t make pension contributions in their early life partially because well meaning people advise them against it - as indeed you are doing.
they conclude, as you are doing, that there are better uses for “this money” in the future so therefore they should never commit it to a pension.
this is completely missing the point of my argument.
I am saying she should not invest in an ETF because in a very real and practical sense it is wholly unsuitable for the vast majority of Irish resident investors once one factors in the tax compliance issues which you gloss over in your response.
she could invest in an Irish unit linked policy from an insurance company but arguably should not do so either since net of cost and tax she is unlikely to make a profit in excess of a state savings certificate from a suitable balanced investment strategy which reflects the uncertainty around her future potential need to access the savings - your point.
so the logically conclusion is therefore that she should keep most of the capital in a state savings certificate as we set out here
We strongly advocate that longer-term investments should be arranged via pensions and stock-market linked investment accounts.
globalwealth.ie
but make a modest contribution to a PRSA with a very high equity content.
if you have an age related allowance of 15% and pay say, €500 into a pension you obtain tax relief of 15% of €1525 or €228.75 which represents an effective rate of tax relief of 45.75%
the combined return of this strategy including the tax relief carried forward will under most circumstances provide a higher overall return net of costs and tax and certainly a higher return than an ETF net of tax and penalties for screwing up the tax return.
A detailed analysis of the comparison between gross roll up in a pension vs a taxable investment subject to exit tax are set out here
This guide sets out how a Personal Retirement Savings account (PRSA) combined with an Approved Retirement Fund (ARF) can be used by any Irish Investor between the ages of 18 and 75 to invest personal savings in a tax efficient way
globalwealth.ie