Current public sentiment towards the housing market?

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And why do you feel that there may not be another on the market like it for quite awhile? Is that not speculation?

by that rational an opinion is speculation.

I believe in this thread, speculation is confined to an exercise to obtain financial gain. I was not deducing that because another would not be available in the foreseeable future that this would mean the price would rise.

I simply liked the apartment I found and wanted to buy it & live in it.
 
Made an inquiry on the property to test the market. Said i would only be interested in viewing but my ceiling was max 340K. He was open to my offer.

Anecdotally it would seem that the September buying spree might be dead on arrival. Next big hope for the vestos will be some boost in the December budget - but by that time interest rates could be 50 basis pts (17%) higher than today.
Timber!!!????
 
All of which is fair enough. What I don't understand is why housing should be different to anything else people want to buy. If I go into a wine shop I don't demand that my bottle of wine should be cheaper because I intend on drinking it that evening rather than placing it in a cellar with a view to selling it on at an inflated price in three years. If the bottle is too expensive I look for something else or don't buy.

My point regarding the time frame was to deflate idea that ftb's are buying off plans solely to speculate.

An anti-speculative tax similar to the one that was already on the books but was never implemented is a good idea (i.e. tax people who buy houses with no intention of letting them). Some kind of socialist juncta where the state supplies all of our housing needs and/or fixes the prices is not.

i agree
 
Are we not wealthier as a nation since the early 90's?

I'm not sure we are as rich as we think.

When I was a student (95 - 99) I worked part-time in technical support, about 30 hours a week. I lived in an apartment in the city centre with my girlfriend. I always had money left over at the end of the month.

10 years later, I'm in a reasonably senior position but I'm not doing much better than my student days. Everything has pretty much doubled in price since then, my wages have also doubled , but it means I'm staying afloat. If anything, I actually feel poorer now. I worry about affording basic things like clothes and rent.

Funnily enough I probably could have bought a house/apartment on my part-time wages 10 years ago, but have no chance in hell of ever affording a (non-commuter hell) house now.

Things have gone crazy in this country. My only option (which I am happy about) is to emigrate. I just don't see what is so attractive about Ireland as to put myself in terrible debt and at terrible risk for 30 years.

...
 
Personally I am not looking for price caps on houses or not allowing investors to outbid FTBs. But I would recommend reassessing the taxation situation particularly for investment properties bought but never released onto the rental market, for example.

Exactly,this would have the added bonus of flushing out all the tax evading landlords,if your not registered with the prtb then revenue should pay you special attention.
 
I believe in this thread, speculation is confined to an exercise to obtain financial gain. I was not deducing that because another would not be available in the foreseeable future that this would mean the price would rise.

I'm sorry I disagree. Speculation on missing out (fear) is driving the property market just as much as speculation on ever increasing prices (greed).

I simply liked the apartment I found and wanted to buy it & live in it.

Good for you! But a lot of people I know are not buying property they really like (or even see themselves living in for the long term).
 
Black market houses, indeed. They'll be smuggling them in with the chinese in containers via the channel tunnel. Who is talking about fixing prices here? Knock out investors whose only purpose is to drive property prices up, to the detriment of society as a whole, and the idea of a property tax is sounding more and more appealing to me. No property tax for your primary living home, cumulatively increasing property taxes for every house after the first that you own. That sounds about right. Landlords can factor that into the rent if they like, and it will provide a serious incentive not to own too many residential properties.

You said that the government should prevent investors outbidding FTBs. In such a scenario if two investors wanted a property it would be worth paying a FTB to put in a bid and therefore put a ceiling on the property price.

The only purpose of investors isn't too drive up property prices. They may be hoping for prices to increase in the future or to make a profit from letting the house but unless you think they are operating some sort of cartel, they are taking a risk to do so. As for taxation - replacing stamp duty with a yearly tax would be best. Why tax exit or entry into the market - the solution is to make the market more liquid not less.

And don't start crying about what will we do to earn money then. Learn about other investments. Put some of that cash into local businesses, start your own, invest in equities. There are a million other ways to earn money.

I'm pretty happy with my investment choices. I don't need you to tell me what I should or shouldn't invest in.

Proper planning and regulation ARE government interference. In my opinion, no rational person would be looking at the property market in in Ireland today. They'd be off in the middle of the most affluent sections of New York City, buying property for the same price as in Phibsboro.

Exactly, in your opinion not rational person would get involved in the market today. Let people make their own decision as to what is rational and what is not. Better that than have the civil service decide. Freedom entails a freedom to make mistakes as well.
 
Knock out investors whose only purpose is to drive property prices up, to the detriment of society as a whole, and the idea of a property tax is sounding more and more appealing to me. No property tax for your primary living home, cumulatively increasing property taxes for every house after the first that you own. That sounds about right. Landlords can factor that into the rent if they like, and it will provide a serious incentive not to own too many residential properties.

Where would I live in that situation. Your suggestion would basically force people like me to buy when I am perfectly content renting. Particularly in the current market where there is an excess of good rental properties at a much lower price than the equivalent cost of buying.

The government should stay the hell out of this
 
Notice how the blame game has already started on this thread!

IMHO the people on this thread are about 6-9 months ahead of the game, once the panic sets in with the masses there will be murder,joe duffy will get months out of it !.
 
I'm not sure we are as rich as we think.

Too true. Nominal wealth is meaningless - only real wealth counts. The government has not tried to contain inflation but rather has encouraged it (hyper-inflation in housing for one). It seems great in the initial waves but sucks for years to come after that - when it filters down from the things we own into the things we buy.

Worse still wages won't increase to match inflation so we'll be getting poorer every year. Stagflation here we come.
 
Mate the house will probably be sold in the end for a figure in the high 200K. A house on that street went for 500K (I viewed it) but it was done up smartly. These, yes, are due a severe correction.

I would personally value the terrace over the apartment. Never underestimate the convenience of been able to just park outside your front door.

phoenix_n - fascinating insight. These type of small, run down, potential money pit properties (even if it is in a city centre location) will be hard to sell... Saying that - I expected to see more examples of commuter apartments nose diving before these houses.

To put things in perspective though - I see there is a 2 bed ground floor apartment in Portland Lock for sale accross the road from the property you posted. They are looking for €360,000, for a less then 2 year old apartment at 743 sqft (which is much bigger then the house).

I'm assuming the negatives on the apartment
- ground floor
- no mention of parking space, so I assume none
- the canal is crappy looking especially in the summer.

BUT - I would pay at least 30k more for the apartment than I would for the house (wouldn't pay 360k for the apartment)..... You could debate whether the house is overvalued at 360k, but it definitley puts in perspective how pricey the St. Ignatius property is. Would you agree?
 
The government should stay the hell out of this - by removing tax incentives for investors and levelling the playing field for anyone wanting to buy a house!

Exactly. The best thing would be a level playing field for investors, speculators, FTBs, STBs and just about anybody else who wants a house. Then let market forces decide what a house is worth.

This market has been grossly distorted by stamp duty and tax incentives. I don't see more taxes solving the problem only amplifying it.
 
You said that the government should prevent investors outbidding FTBs. In such a scenario if two investors wanted a property it would be worth paying a FTB to put in a bid and therefore put a ceiling on the property price.
Where exactly did I say that? Its no good putting words in my mouth. I've already said several times what I think should happen, which is higher property taxes for houses after the first, to make it uneconomical to even bid in the first place for speculators. Why am I repeating myself?

The only purpose of investors isn't too drive up property prices. They may be hoping for prices to increase in the future or to make a profit from letting the house but unless you think they are operating some sort of cartel, they are taking a risk to do so.
With rental yields what they are, there is zero chance of making a profit by letting the house out, so that idea goes out the window.

As for taxation - replacing stamp duty with a yearly tax would be best. Why tax exit or entry into the market - the solution is to make the market more liquid not less.
Yes, but only on properties after the first, with higher taxes annually for every subsequent property.

I'm pretty happy with my investment choices. I don't need you to tell me what I should or shouldn't invest in.
Splendid I'm very happy for you. You might consider passing on some of that wisdom to the rest of the country, however.

Let people make their own decision as to what is rational and what is not.
Making the most important financial decision of their lives in ignorance is not something that should be advised, unless you are trying to pull a fast one.
 
Exactly. The best thing would be a level playing field for investors, speculators, FTBs, STBs and just about anybody else who wants a house. Then let market forces decide what a house is worth.
The playing field of specuvestors vs FTBers isn't level in the first place, its grossly weighted in favour of the specuvestors.

This market has been grossly distorted by stamp duty and tax incentives. I don't see more taxes solving the problem only amplifying it.
What? Your posts are becoming increasingly schizophrenic... This is even on the same page. My head hurts from speed of the u-turn.

Land tax is probably the best taxation system ever thought of and by far the fairest. The government should scrap every other tax and accrue all the required revenue through land tax alone.
 
Hi I 've been following this thread for months now an decided its probably about time I threw in my tuppence worth. Like a lot of people on this thread I think, I missed the boat well and truly in the nineties if I knew then what I know now etc. etc.

However I really do think this time the market is teetering on the brink I know the difference from what I'm paying in rent to what I'd pay for a mortgage is unbelievable (1100 for a two bedroom house in dublin 14).

To anybody who says the government should interfere with taxes etc I think they are spectacularly wrong, the market is about to correct itself it has to theres no way it can keep going its well and truly out of kilter with wages, (by the way I earn over fifty thousand a year with bonuses of up to ten grand as well as other nixer work and I can't buy a house)
 
phoenix_n - I agree on the convenience of the house option - I went with that myself when I purchased...

However this house is in such bad repair - over 200sqft smaller than the apartment and the possible problems from leaks, damp, re-roofing etc. are limitless....

Bottom line 425k, 395k, even 380k are crazy numbers for that house, what figure represents April/May market value? and what will it sell for? If it goes for under 300k or even just above 300k I would call that an indication of a crash - would you agree?

I know one swallow doth not a summer make, but 300k area is a crash indication in my book...
 
How soon after the property crash will the books come out....surely not soon enough for a Xmas bestseller???

Firefly
 
Bottom line 425k, 395k, even 380k are crazy numbers for that house, what figure represents April/May market value? and what will it sell for? If it goes for under 300k or even just above 300k I would call that an indication of a crash - would you agree?

I have called a 'crash' already. Its just the time it takes to sell (lead time) which is why is it not visible now. Expect xmas for it to in public domain. (earlier in business pages)
 
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