Brendan Burgess
Founder
- Messages
- 52,204
I would like to know the fatality rate for people in their 60s without an underlying condition.
Yep, we'll have to wait until more people die of it to get enough data for meaningful analysis.That would need a well-specified multivariate regression with a big sample size.
I doubt that there is enough data of reliable quality yet to run this. Also, mortality rate is itself unreliable itself given:
- Lag between infection and death
- Treatment received may vary
- Testing rates that vary from place to place
One has to make decisions based on the best available information.
This might not be perfect, but it's highly indicative.
View attachment 4354
One has to make decisions based on the best available information.
This might not be perfect, but it's highly indicative.
View attachment 4354
I was talking to a friend of mine who is the same age as myself.
He said that as the numbers infected now are so low, each one gets individual care.
But if and when there are 100,000 or 1m people in Ireland infected, it won't be possible to isolate them all and the death rate will probably rise.
Brendan
can you now say the chance of being infected is 0.13%
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