Warren die, no chillBRK.B and Chill
Timing the market is a mug's game.Warren is 94 now. With respect, and without trying to sound crass, you could wait for his inevitable departure, and then buy.
Yes, but there'll still be some form of panic dip. There seems to be a lot of American 'dumb' money in play these daysTiming the market is a mug's game.
You don't think that WB's age and mortality is already priced into the market?
And how does one know when the dip has reached its nadir so one doesn't end up being just another dummy?Yes, but there'll still be some form of panic dip. There seems to be a lot of American 'dumb' money in play these days
I was waiting but without Buffet and Munger I think a lot of people will exit and no telling how the replacements will fare also as Berkshire keeps getting bigger it keeps getting harder to outperform Indexes.Warren is 94 now. With respect, and without trying to sound crass, you could wait for his inevitable departure, and then buy.
By trying to time the dip, you'll just be more dumb moneyAnd how does one know when the dip has reached its nadir so one doesn't end up being just another dummy?
You mentioned this your other thread and it is simply not correct. The S&P 500 would have held Enron. A global index would have held both. But they hold 500 and 1,500 stocks respectively, so they are very diversified. In the case of Enron, they were cooking the books, so their weighting would have gone straight to 0%. With Nokia, it was a gradual decline, so their weighting would have been reduced gradually to 0% based on formulas used.Direct equity shares on paper offer the best returns. But seem a lot riskier than simply buying an ETF/Trust. Whereas an Index like SP500 will eventually recover will your 10-20 blue chips picks (Enron, Nokia etc)?
A few questions -Buy 10 to 20 blue chip shares when they are cheap and keep them forever.
Answer to 1. and 2.= Simple .Do some serious homework.Answer to 3.=E.G For retirement. Sell one share say every year and "blow it"on your passion whatever that is..P.S.I am not a financial expert and my temperament perhaps makes me a laid back [lazy]investor but i do believe strongly in K.I.S.S. "Keep it simple silly."and i also regard the habit of using common sense as "Genius in Disguise"A few questions -
1. How do you identify a “blue chip” stock?
2. How do you know whether it’s “cheap”?
3. How do you realise a gain if you hold the stock “forever”?
Gotcha."genius in disguise"
For the 3rd item, dividends may meet some/all of your income needs. Until you need the income, dividends should be reinvested.A few questions -
1. How do you identify a “blue chip” stock?
2. How do you know whether it’s “cheap”?
3. How do you realise a gain if you hold the stock “forever”?
In case it needs to be stated explicitly - reinvested dividends are still assessable for income tax.For the 3rd item, dividends may meet some/all of your income needs. Until you need the income, dividends should be reinvested.
Do you currently have such a portfolio? Curious what you're holding!Keep it simple.Buy 10 to 20 blue chip shares when they are cheap and keep them forever.Do not "Churn"them. in my humble opinion.
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