There are lots of Coronaviruses. Of the multiple different viruses known collectively as the Common Cold 4 are Corona Viruses. They have been around for hundreds, and in some cases thousands, of years. As Covid19 is an RNA virus (as is the case with all Corona Viruses) it is less likely than other DNA viruses to mutate into a new (Novel) disease. Therefore while there is genetic variation meaningful mutation is unlikely. The fewer cases the less likely that is to happen and, or course, the converse is true.Begs the question, are all variants of the corona virus that are currently floating around known as covid 19.
From what I saw there wasn't a timeline, and the Head of Modelling, Vallance said that once restrictions are lifted the UK it will be difficult to know what the effects will be on transmission etc.I heard the 30,000 figure on the Boris provided his timeline.
IIRC that’s the expected death toll between between now and 18 months
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