As long as you are comparing the yield to an opportunity cost of capital (i.e. the return on assets of equivalent risk) as you are suggesting - the approaches are basically the same.
Yes, but the property cannot be disposed of without repaying the mortgage!
Which is why you cannot look at property yield in isolation.
Brendan
To value the loan we need to know what rate the owner could borrow for this investment today. Lets say 4.25% (AIB standard variable)
From the perspective of the bank - the loan is annual 20 payments of €1,500 plus a payment of €100,000 in 20 years. The bank would lend today at 4.25%.
The present value of this loan is (i.e. the value of the payments the borrower has to make to repay this loan, expressed in today's terms)
1500/(1.0425) + 1500/ (1.0425)^2 + 1500/ (1.0425)^3.........101,500/(1.0425)^20
the present value of the loan repayments is €63,440. The borrower had the use of €100,000 for which they are paying €63,440 - Even if the property os overvalued by 30% - the optimal decision may still be to retain the property because of the subsidy from the lender.
The most interesting point relating to this extensive discussion is that one side pre-assumes that the investor with the tracker mortgage will have any alternative to either retaining the property and the associated RI or selling the property and paying off the mortgage in full. I.e. There is absolutely no way to diversify the funds invested as they are tied in to the relevant property. You cannot compare yields when the alternative is no return!!
Hi folks,
Apologies for the delay in replying.
I've been away for a few days, and thank you for your extensive replies.
-Sarenco.
The calculation you listed of €6,240 (€520 x 12) is actually now 650 x 12, or 7,800 per anum rental
income. Realistically I'd say 60k to 80k is the most I'd get for the property, it is in a provincial town.
-Brendan.
Reading your post I get the vibe that I should hold onto the tracker at all costs.
If I sold this property, how would I go about transferring it to a future loan? If at all.
I honestly don't ever see the property hitting 100k in value, let alone 200k, but the rental demand
is strong locally, and the tenant is fine.
You also mention "If the mortgage is 1% it's a great investment, at the moment. When the inputs change, the decision should be reviewed".
In other words, I'd be mad to sell?
So, Sarenco and Brendan, based on my estimate of a 60-80k value, would I be better off selling, or not?
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