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Forum: Tax 17-05-2014, 02:23 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 561
Posted By zephyro
As a simplistic example, if the director stopped...

As a simplistic example, if the director stopped working at 45 with 600k in the company, is there any reason why he couldn't take say 30k per annum until such time as there was nothing left? I...
Forum: Tax 16-05-2014, 08:47 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 561
Posted By zephyro
Accumulate funds in company?

If they could afford to do so, why couldn't/shouldn't contractors take only a small salary from their company such that their effective tax rate is no higher than 12.5%, and accumulate/invest the...
Forum: The General Election - Discussion 03-03-2011, 01:47 PM
Replies: 116
Views: 16,649
Posted By zephyro
Hi Brendan, would you have these figures for...

Hi Brendan, would you have these figures for previous years also?
Forum: The bailout, the banking crisis and other economic issues 30-03-2010, 04:27 PM
Replies: 52
Views: 10,279
Posted By zephyro
Re: Socialism. Has it ever worked economically?

Possibly but some people think otherwise: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anarcho-capitalism
Forum: Investments 15-05-2009, 04:36 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 812
Posted By zephyro
Re: Live share prices where to view?

finance.yahoo.com
finance.google.com
Forum: The great financial debates 07-02-2009, 08:29 PM
Replies: 65
Views: 12,871
Posted By zephyro
Re: Capitalism . . . Is it a failure, or is this just a blip!

I'd most definitely prefer to live in a truly capitalist system but I think its current implementation in the developed world is very flawed. What would you suggest as an alternative?
Forum: Investments 11-11-2008, 10:02 AM
Replies: 49
Views: 8,307
Posted By zephyro
Forum: Investments 11-11-2008, 09:43 AM
Replies: 49
Views: 8,307
Posted By zephyro
Re: Value Investing - Courses in Dublin? and Advice please

There are many more if the below doesn't suffice. No assumptions made. If you know of a single reputable study that finds that growth stocks outperform in statistically significant out of sample...
Forum: Investments 10-11-2008, 09:57 AM
Replies: 49
Views: 8,307
Posted By zephyro
Re: Value Investing - Courses in Dublin? and Advice please

And yet studies have repeatedly shown that buying stocks at very low P/Bs greatly outperforms.
Forum: Investments 09-11-2008, 08:32 PM
Replies: 75
Views: 9,720
Posted By zephyro
Re: Dabbling in the stock market

It's very easy to pick a system that works in a particular sample. How does this system perform out of sample?
Forum: Investments 09-11-2008, 08:23 PM
Replies: 75
Views: 9,720
Posted By zephyro
Re: Dabbling in the stock market

Your approach seems to be to ignore backtesting and trade systems with real money, presumeably until they stop 'working'. I'm sure you realise there's a one in two chance that any system will record...
Forum: Investments 09-11-2008, 07:41 PM
Replies: 75
Views: 9,720
Posted By zephyro
Re: Dabbling in the stock market

Why doesn't he backtest correctly in that case?

You may be correct that edges do exist but have you any properly backtested verification?
Forum: Investments 09-11-2008, 03:23 PM
Replies: 75
Views: 9,720
Posted By zephyro
Re: Dabbling in the stock market

Do you or anyone else know of even one rule that outperforms in backtests in at least three statistically significant out-of-sample periods? The 'evidence' I've seen until now is laughably lacking in...
Forum: Investments 25-10-2008, 05:40 PM
Replies: 31
Views: 8,478
Posted By zephyro
Re: How to lose 14k in one year...

True. On average for all traders it's zero less costs, which is a lot less than 7%.



Quite a big if there. It always looks so obvious with the benefit of hindsight. Can you tell us what's going...
Forum: Investments 24-10-2008, 10:38 PM
Replies: 31
Views: 8,478
Posted By zephyro
Re: How to lose 14k in one year...

The difference is that the expected return from long-term investing in stocks is significantly positive but the expected return from short-term trading is negligibly different from zero.
Forum: Investments 24-10-2008, 09:46 PM
Replies: 28
Views: 11,256
Posted By zephyro
Re: A good time to buy bank shares?

3) PEAD http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Post_earnings_announcement_drift

4) Momentum http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Momentum_(finance))
Forum: Investments 09-10-2008, 04:34 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 6,324
Posted By zephyro
Re: Should I have nearly all my money invested with quinn.

You call that proof? Traders trade all day, some make money, the rest lose money, on average they break even before costs. There have been hundreds of statistical studies done on market timing,...
Forum: Investments 03-10-2008, 11:36 AM
Replies: 23
Views: 2,500
Posted By zephyro
Re: Spread betting &/or CFD's are NOT a good substitute for long term shareholding?

Trader performance is also generally very poor, though the industry presents the big winners while the losers lose everything. Is there a difference between identifying the good/lucky managed funds...
Forum: Investments 03-10-2008, 11:10 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 2,497
Posted By zephyro
Re: How Safe is Quinn Life Euro Freeway

I'd also like to know. As I understand it the assets in the Freeway funds would be protected in this scenario. Can anyone confirm?
Forum: The great financial debates 18-09-2008, 01:26 PM
Replies: 195
Views: 41,068
Posted By zephyro
Re: Is financial spread betting gambling or investing?

It's very simple, the expected return of a long position is positive over any timeframe you choose, i.e. the probability of the return on a long position being positive is > 50% over minutes, hours,...
Forum: The great financial debates 17-09-2008, 04:28 PM
Replies: 195
Views: 41,068
Posted By zephyro
Forum: The great financial debates 17-09-2008, 03:51 PM
Replies: 195
Views: 41,068
Posted By zephyro
Re: Is financial spread betting gambling or investing?

Just that the expected return of every short position is negative.
Forum: Investments 29-07-2008, 02:23 PM
Replies: 22
Views: 3,330
Posted By zephyro
Re: Quinnlife or Anglo Irish Bank for Child benefit savings?

And how exactly would you know when is a 'good' or 'bad' time to buy?
Forum: Investments 22-05-2008, 09:53 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 769
Posted By zephyro
Re: stock screener

I haven't come across one and I'd be amazed if there is one. It's not easy to find one for the London market and the Irish market is a fraction of the size. IMO there's far too few stocks on the...
Forum: Affordable housing and shared ownership 19-05-2008, 09:48 AM
Replies: 73
Views: 12,207
Posted By zephyro
Re: Lending Institutions withdraw from AH in Dublin Docklands

Might be there if I can leave work early.
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